1. Administration |
21 |
1.1. Scope of This Report |
21 |
1.2. Methodology |
21 |
1.3. Basic Scenario Assumptions |
22 |
2. Executive Summary |
23 |
2.1. IEDs: A Tactical Threat A Strategic Problem |
23 |
2.2. Major Findings |
25 |
2.3. Major Conclusions |
30 |
2.4. U.S. Counter-IED Installed Base 2007 |
34 |
3. Counter-IED Industry Programs, Technology and Market Evolution |
35 |
3.1. Counter-IED Programs FY 2008 |
35 |
3.2. Forecasted State of Technology |
36 |
3.3. Fastest Growth Markets |
37 |
3.3.1. Current Growth Markets |
37 |
3.3.2. Growth Markets Outlook |
37 |
3.4. Key Technology Challenges |
38 |
3.5. Market Leaders |
38 |
3.6. Keys to Success |
39 |
4. Counter-IED Market Business Opportunities |
40 |
4.1. Maintenance and Upgrades (Particularly of Jammers, Robots and Armored Trucks at This Point) |
40 |
4.2. Software/Hardware Upgrade/Additions in the Medium/Long Term |
40 |
4.3. Suicide Bombers Standoff Detection |
40 |
4.4. Suicide Bombers Detonation Neutralization |
41 |
4.5. VBIED Threats Standoff Detection |
41 |
4.6. VBIED Detonation Neutralization |
41 |
4.7. Standoff Explosive Detection in Urban Environment (e.g., parking lots, stadium/shopping mall entrances, secure structures) |
41 |
4.8. Intelligence Analysis for Determination of Possible IED Cells |
42 |
4.9. Large Area Change Detection Coverage |
42 |
4.10. IED Placement Detection |
42 |
4.11. Active Armors for Vehicles |
43 |
5. Counter-IED Industry Drivers |
44 |
6. Counter-IED Industry Inhibitors |
45 |
7. Approaches to Countering IED Threat |
46 |
7.1. Prediction |
46 |
7.2. Detection |
47 |
7.3. Prevention |
47 |
7.4. Neutralization and Destruction |
48 |
7.5. Mitigation |
48 |
8. IED and Counter-IED Detailed Evolution |
50 |
8.1. IED The Ultimate Asymmetric Weapon Deployment Methods |
51 |
8.2. Counter-IED Market Effects of Iraq/Afghanistan Wars |
53 |
8.2.1. Threat Evolution IEDs in Low Intensity Conflict Zones (Iraq/Afghanistan) |
53 |
8.2.2. Threat Evolution Foreign Insurgents in Iraq |
55 |
8.3. The Evolution of IED Targets |
56 |
8.3.1. Threat Evolution Shaped Charges |
56 |
8.3.2. Threat Evolution Homemade Explosives (HME) |
57 |
8.4. Evolving Threat Evolving Strategies |
57 |
8.5. The IED Food Chain |
60 |
8.6. Cost of IED Casualty and Equipment Replacement |
61 |
8.6.1. USMC Cost of Equipment Replacement |
62 |
8.7. Critical Counter-IED Priorities |
62 |
8.8. DARPA Optimal Features of Counter-IED System (Detection) |
62 |
8.9. Is Counter-IED The “New” Manhattan Project? |
63 |
8.10. History of IED |
65 |
8.10.1. United States |
65 |
8.10.2. Europe |
65 |
8.10.3. Middle East |
67 |
8.10.4. Asia and Pacific Rim |
70 |
9. Global Counter-IED Outlay & Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
75 |
9.1. Global Counter-IED Outlay Forecast 2008 2012 |
75 |
9.2. Scenario I Forecasts |
76 |
9.2.1. Global Counter-IED Equipment Value 2007 |
77 |
9.2.2. Global Counter-IED Outlay: International vs. U.S. Forecasts 2008 2012 |
79 |
9.2.3. Global Counter-IED: Outlay vs. Market Segments Forecasts – 2008-2012 |
80 |
9.3. Global Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
83 |
9.3.1. Global Counter-IED Market Forecast by Territory 2008 2012 |
84 |
9.3.2. Global Counter-IED Market Forecast by Tactical Segments 2008 2012 |
86 |
9.3.3. Global Counter-IED Market Forecast by Market Segments 2008 2012 |
88 |
9.3.4. Global Counter-IED Equipment Procurement Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
90 |
9.3.5. Global Counter-IED Equipment Service Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
93 |
9.3.6. Global Counter-IED Equipment Upgrade Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
97 |
9.4. Scenario II Forecasts |
102 |
9.4.1. Scenario II Counter-IED: Outlay Compared With Market Segments Forecasts 2008 2012 |
102 |
9.4.2. Scenario II Counter-IED Market by Tactical Segments Forecast 2008 2012 |
103 |
10. U.S. Counter-IED Programs, Outlay and Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
105 |
10.1. Executive Summary |
105 |
10.2. U.S. Counter-IED Effort Participating Agencies / Organizations |
106 |
10.2.1. Joint IED Defeat Organization (JIEDDO) |
107 |
10.3. U.S. DOD Counter-IED Programs 2008 2012 |
108 |
10.3.1. Attack the Network |
108 |
10.3.2. Defeat the Device |
109 |
10.3.3. Train the Forces |
110 |
10.4. U.S. Counter-IED Testing/Evaluation Facility |
111 |
10.5. U.S. Counter-IED Outlay 2007 |
111 |
10.6. U.S. Counter-IED Outlay Forecast 2008 2012 |
115 |
10.6.1. U.S. Counter-IED Outlay Forecast by Mission Activity 2008 2012 |
115 |
10.6.2. U.S. Counter-IED: Outlay vs. Market Segments Forecasts 2008 2012 |
117 |
10.7. U.S. Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
119 |
10.7.1. U.S. Counter-IED Market Forecast by Tactical Segments 2008 2012 |
119 |
10.7.2. U.S. Counter-IED Market Forecast by Market Segments 2008 2012 |
121 |
10.7.3. U.S. Counter-IED Equipment Procurement Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
122 |
10.7.4. U.S. Counter-IED Equipment Service Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
124 |
10.7.5. U.S. Counter-IED Equipment Upgrade Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
127 |
11. International (non-U.S.) Counter-IED Outlay and Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
131 |
11.1. Executive Summary |
131 |
11.2. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Outlay 2007 |
132 |
11.3. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Outlay Forecast 2008 2012 |
133 |
11.4. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
135 |
11.4.1. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Market Forecast by Tactical Segments 2008 2012 |
135 |
11.4.2. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Market Forecast by Market Segments 2008 2012 |
138 |
11.4.3. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Equipment Procurement Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
139 |
11.4.4. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Equipment Service Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
141 |
11.4.5. International (non U.S.) Counter-IED Equipment Upgrade Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
144 |
12. Europe and NATO Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
148 |
12.1. Executive Summary |
148 |
12.2. Threat to Civilian Population in Europe |
150 |
12.2.1. Understanding Europe’s Vulnerability to IED |
150 |
12.2.2. Existing European Counter-IED Measures |
151 |
12.2.3. Possible Responses to Increased IED Threat in Europe |
154 |
12.2.4. Recommended Additional Counter-IED Measures |
155 |
12.2.5. NATO Counter Terrorism Technology Development Program (NCTDP) |
156 |
12.3. NATO Counter-IED Strategy |
158 |
12.3.1. Conference of National Armaments Directors (CNAD) |
158 |
12.3.2. Defense Against Terrorism (DAT) |
159 |
12.3.3. NATO Industrial Advisory Group (NIAG) |
159 |
12.3.4. Allied Command Transformation (ACT) |
159 |
12.4. European Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
160 |
13. Israel Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
162 |
13.1. Executive Summary |
162 |
13.2. Israel Sample Innovative Counter-IED Technologies |
164 |
13.2.1. Counter-IED Fuel-Air Explosives |
164 |
13.2.2. Airborne Counter-IED Technology |
164 |
13.2.3. Thor High Energy Laser IED Neutralization System |
164 |
13.2.4. Wheeled Armored Vehicles |
165 |
13.2.5. Jammers |
166 |
13.3. Market Growth Opportunities |
168 |
13.4. Israel Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
169 |
14. Russia Counter-IED Market Outlook |
172 |
15. India Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
173 |
15.1. Executive Summary |
173 |
15.2. Current Indian Counter-IED Offerings |
174 |
15.3. Major Procurement Markets |
175 |
15.4. India Market Growth Opportunities |
175 |
15.5. India Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
176 |
16. Arab World Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
178 |
16.1. Executive Summary |
178 |
16.2. Major Procurement Markets |
179 |
16.3. Growth Opportunities |
179 |
16.4. Arab World Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
180 |
17. Central / South America Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
182 |
17.1. Executive Summary |
182 |
17.2. Major Procurement Markets |
183 |
17.3. Growth Opportunities |
183 |
17.4. Central / South America Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
184 |
18. China Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
186 |
18.1. Executive Summary |
186 |
18.2. China Counter-IED Market Forecast 2008 2012 |
188 |
19. Canine (K-9) |
190 |
20. Counter-IED Current Technologies |
192 |
20.1.1. Counter-IED Current State of Technology |
192 |
20.2. Prediction Technologies |
194 |
20.2.1. HazMasterG3® – HAZMAT/CBRNE/IED Decision Support System (Alluviam LLC) |
194 |
20.2.2. IED Trainer – General Dynamics Advanced Information Systems (GD-AIS) |
195 |
20.3. Detection Technologies |
197 |
20.3.1. ACRO-P.E.T TATP Detector |
197 |
20.3.2. Non-linear Junction Detector (NLJD) |
197 |
20.3.3. MARCbot |
198 |
20.3.4. Georeferencing – BuckEye (Flight Landata) |
199 |
20.3.5. Aerostats |
200 |
20.3.6. UAV Mounted IED Volumetric Detection |
201 |
20.3.7. Counter-IED Reconnaissance Planes |
202 |
20.3.8. PING Microwave Based Explosive Caches Detector |
203 |
20.4. Prevention Technologies |
204 |
20.4.1. RCIED Jammers |
204 |
20.4.2. Advanced and Nearly Deployed Jammers |
207 |
20.4.3. Counter Infrared-Triggered IEDs |
209 |
20.4.4. The “5 and 25” Campaign |
209 |
20.5. Neutralization and Destruction |
210 |
20.5.1. Ultra Wide Band (UWB) High Powered Electro Magnetics (HPEM) Technology |
210 |
20.5.2. Thor IED Zappers |
211 |
20.5.3. Robots |
211 |
20.5.4. JIN Joint IED Neutralizer Ionatron |
214 |
20.5.5. Scorpion II – Alliant Techsystems |
215 |
20.5.6. Mobile Obliteration Platform (MOP) Laser and Ground Penetrating Radar |
215 |
20.5.7. Medium Directional Energetic Tool (MDET) |
216 |
20.6. Mitigation Technologies |
217 |
20.6.1. ARNISI ECM-1 Anti-IED device. |
217 |
20.6.2. Armored Vehicle Samples |
217 |
21. Counter-IED Emerging Technologies |
219 |
21..1. Prediction Technologies Outlook |
219 |
21..1.1. Predictive Models for Improvised Explosive Device Countermeasures |
220 |
21..1.2. Combined Exploitation (GEO) Cell, Counter-IED Technology |
220 |
21..1.3. Persistent Operational Surface Surveillance and Engagement (POSSE) |
221 |
21..1.4. Suicide Bomber Tracking |
222 |
21..1.5. Intelligence (Inferential Reasoning and Predictive Techniques) |
223 |
21..1.6. Local Eyes – Human/Cellular Sensor Network |
223 |
21..1.7. Shadow- Aurora Unmanned Aerial Vehicle with Hyperspectral Sensors Payload |
224 |
21..1.8. Modeling Traffic Flow Strategies in Countering Improvised Explosive Devices |
225 |
21..1.9. Cultural Intelligence for Stability Operations |
225 |
21..1.10. Additional Projects |
226 |
21..2. Detection Technologies Outlook |
227 |
21..2.1. Quantum Entanglement Scanner |
227 |
21..2.2. Pre-Treatment of Roads for Explosives Detection |
228 |
21..2.3. Persistent Surveillance |
229 |
21..2.4. Joint Surveillance Target Attack Ground Moving Target Indicator Radar System – JSTARS GMTI |
229 |
21..2.5. Laser Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS) |
230 |
21..2.6. FOPEN Foliage Penetration – Sensing Through Foliage |
231 |
21..2.7. ELITS – Enhanced Laser – Induced Target Spectroscopy |
232 |
21..2.8. Persistent Threat Detection System (PTDS) |
233 |
21..2.9. Roadside Explosive Device X-ray (REX) detecting system REX – Roadside X-Ray Explosive Device Detection |
233 |
21..2.10. A Neutron Based Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Device (VBID) Detection System |
234 |
21..2.11. Ultra Wide Band (UWB), Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) System for the Detection of Buried and Non-Buried IEDs |
235 |
21..2.12. Deep Ultra Violet Raman Spectroscopy (DUV-RS) Vibrational Spectroscopy Analysis |
235 |
21..2.13. GPS-Tagged Multi-Camera-Video Change Detection on Roads |
236 |
21..2.14. Standoff IED Detection using Coherent Ultra-Broadband Terahertz Sources and Detectors |
237 |
21..2.15. MQ-8B Fire Scout Robo-Chopper – IED Sniffer |
237 |
21..2.16. HAXIS – Hard X-Ray Backscatter System |
238 |
21..2.17. Passive and Active MM Wave (MMW) Sensor IED Detection |
239 |
21..2.18. Peroxide-Based Explosives Detector (TATP) |
240 |
21..2.19. Anti-IED Raptor |
240 |
21..2.20. LIBS-THz Spectroscopy for IED Detection |
240 |
21..2.21. DRONES with RF Emitters for Spotting IEDs |
241 |
21..2.22. Laser Aided IED Spotting |
241 |
21..2.23. VBIED Nanosecond Neutron Analysis (NNA). |
242 |
21..2.24. ASW to IED Advanced Sonar Sensors |
243 |
21..2.25. Mini Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) |
243 |
21..2.26. ULTOR® System Real-Time Correlation Processor |
244 |
21..2.27. 3rd Generation FLIR |
245 |
21..2.28. Additional Projects |
246 |
21..3. Prevention Technologies Outlook |
247 |
21..3.1. CREW 3.1 and 3.2 Systems |
247 |
21..3.2. Broad Shield Tactical Manpack (TMP) Next-Generation Counter-IED Solution. |
248 |
21..3.3. Cellective Next Generation, Selective Jammer |
248 |
21..3.4. Next Generation Jammer Syracuse Research Corp. |
249 |
21..3.5. High Power EM Pulse Weapon |
249 |
21..4. Neutralization and Destruction Technologies Outlook |
252 |
21..4.1. NIRF, Neutralizing Improvised Explosive Devices with RF |
252 |
21..4.2. Non-nuclear EMP Weapons (NNEMPW) |
252 |
21..4.3. Laser-Induced Plasma Channel (LIPC) |
253 |
21..5. Mitigation Technologies Outlook |
254 |
21..5.1. SHARK Active Protection System |
254 |
22. Vendors |
255 |
23. Explosives A Brief Primer |
258 |
24. Suicide Terrorism The Human IED |
261 |
24.1. Understanding Suicide Terrorism |
261 |
24.2. Suicide Terror Drivers |
263 |
24.3. Suicide Terror Inhibitors |
263 |
24.4. How do Suicide Terrorists Operate? |
263 |
24.5. How to Deal with Suicide Terror? |
264 |
24.6. The Future of Suicide Terror |
265 |
24.7. Evolving Counter Suicide Bomber Projects |
265 |
25. Bibliography |
266 |
25.1. Books |
266 |